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NL10SH - Set+bdoor nutflush +gutshot str8 against turn reraise

NL10SH - Set+bdoor nutflush +gutshot str8 against turn reraise - Fri Feb 28, 2014, 07:43 PM
pockettones's Avatar
Since: Mar 2013
Posts: 151
Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

UTG: $13.12 (131.2 bb)
MP: $21.15 (211.5 bb)
CO: $10.92 (109.2 bb)
BTN: $4.46 (44.6 bb)
SB: $14.74 (147.4 bb)
Hero (BB): $10 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K K
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.30, 3 folds, Hero raises to $1, MP calls $0.70

Flop: ($2.05) A K T (2 players)
Hero bets $1.30, MP calls $1.30

Turn: ($4.65) 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $2.50, MP raises to $5.90, Hero raises to $7.70 and is all-in, MP calls $1.80

River: ($20.05) J (2 players, 1 is all-in)

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Given pot odds and my hand I have to get my money in against a reraise right?
Fri Feb 28, 2014, 07:53 PM
dirt eh's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,274
NEVER FOLDING HERE. Get it it! I would hope that this villain had at least QJ of spades. If not make sure you write a note on them.

Board: A:spade:K:diamond:T:spade: 6:spade:
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP3    34.90%  34.90%   0.00% { AA, TT, AKs, ATs, QJs }
BB     65.10%  65.10%   0.00% { KhKs }

Last edited by dirt eh; Fri Feb 28, 2014 at 08:09 PM..
Sat Mar 01, 2014, 09:05 AM
spand42's Avatar
Since: Sep 2010
Posts: 1,496
I think dirt eh is onto the right idea, although I don't agree with his ranging.

If villain had a hand like AT or AK or TT, or even QJ I think a lot of villains would fastplay this on such a wet flop, although some people do get slowplay happy. Therefore I think his hand is more weighted towards draws than nut hands, but you might have reads to the contrary.

What flushes could villain have? It would have to be something like QJss, J9ss, T9ss, 98ss, 87ss. Against this purely value range, you have 37.5% equity on the turn. If had actually shoved instead of raising not quite all in, which is basically the same thing, you only need to win 29.6% of the time to break even, so your turn play is fine.

Of course the times that villain might have slowplayed something like AK or TT and is now lashing out, this only boosts your equity way up which makes it even more of a call.
Sat Mar 01, 2014, 02:21 PM
dirt eh's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,274
Originally Posted by spand42 View Post
I think dirt eh is onto the right idea, although I don't agree with his ranging.
Hi spand42, yes I total agree with you. I only gave the villain top RANGE hands to show that it's still a profitable get it in situation?

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