Home / Community / Forum / Poker Education / Poker Education & Beginners Questions /

Chances to hit nut

Old
Default
Chances to hit nut - Mon Mar 03, 2014, 11:16 AM
(#1)
aznhaxor's Avatar
Since: Jan 2014
Posts: 234
What are the chances you hit nut if you have a backdoor flush draw and backdoor straight draw? (This is different from having flush and straight draw from flop)
 
Old
Default
Mon Mar 03, 2014, 11:27 AM
(#2)
JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,809
(Super-Moderator)
BronzeStar
holding what cards and with what cards on the board? there are a few combos where you could hit the nuts, but a ton more where you may hit a flush or straight and have it NOT bet the nuts.

John (JWK24)


Super-Moderator



6 Time Bracelet Winner


 
Old
Default
Mon Mar 03, 2014, 12:24 PM
(#3)
aznhaxor's Avatar
Since: Jan 2014
Posts: 234
Well, it does not have to be nuts but wondering the possibility of hitting either open straight or open flush draw

Does this make sense to you? Did I calculate it correctly?

Back-door Straight Draw + Back-door Flush Draw - Combination of Back Door Flush Straight Draw
(4/50*3/49)+(10/50*9/49) - [(4/50*10/50)*(3/49*9/49)]= 4.227%

All-in Flop to River
1-(1-0.4227)^2= 8.275%
 
Old
Default
Mon Mar 03, 2014, 12:40 PM
(#4)
JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,809
(Super-Moderator)
BronzeStar
those numbers are definitely NOT right.

Are you wanting for a backdoor or an open-ended?

Please let me know and I'll get you the correct numbers.

John (JWK24)


Super-Moderator



6 Time Bracelet Winner


 
Old
Default
Mon Mar 03, 2014, 01:19 PM
(#5)
aznhaxor's Avatar
Since: Jan 2014
Posts: 234
Oops did not meant to say open straight or flush. It is suppose to be backdoor
 
Old
Default
Wed Mar 05, 2014, 04:35 PM
(#6)
anti5ive's Avatar
Since: Feb 2010
Posts: 225
just google odds and outs charts for nlhe.
 
Old
Default
Wed Mar 05, 2014, 05:35 PM
(#7)
aznhaxor's Avatar
Since: Jan 2014
Posts: 234
Well you cannot google it because they are not simple outs and draws. My question is compounding draws. To get backdoor flush or straight, I need to get the right draw at turn and then another at river. If you read my post carefully
 
Old
Default
Wed Mar 05, 2014, 05:57 PM
(#8)
JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,809
(Super-Moderator)
BronzeStar
backdoor gutshot, backdoor open ended, backdoor flush.. what do you want? they'll all be different.


Super-Moderator



6 Time Bracelet Winner


 
Old
Default
Wed Mar 05, 2014, 06:29 PM
(#9)
aznhaxor's Avatar
Since: Jan 2014
Posts: 234
backdoor open ended + backdoor flush combination please
 
Old
Default
Wed Mar 05, 2014, 10:07 PM
(#10)
JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,809
(Super-Moderator)
BronzeStar
backdoor flush is 4%
runner/runner for straight is 1.5%

so the combo would be 5.5%

John (JWK24)


Super-Moderator



6 Time Bracelet Winner


 
Old
Default
Thu Mar 06, 2014, 07:24 AM
(#11)
aznhaxor's Avatar
Since: Jan 2014
Posts: 234
Ty so much
 

Getting PokerStars is easy: download and install the PokerStars game software, create your free player account, and validate your email address. Clicking on the download poker button will lead to the installation of compatible poker software on your PC of 51.7 MB, which will enable you to register and play poker on the PokerStars platform. To uninstall PokerStars use the Windows uninstaller: click Start > Control Panel and then select Add or Remove programs > Select PokerStars and click Uninstall or Remove.

Copyright (c) PokerSchoolOnline.com. All rights reserved, Rational Group, Douglas Bay Complex, King Edward Road, Onchan, Isle of Man, IM3 1DZ. You can email us on support@pokerschoolonline.com