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5nl zoom overpair on paired board

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5nl zoom overpair on paired board - Mon Mar 10, 2014, 03:01 PM
(#1)
Praydk's Avatar
Since: Mar 2012
Posts: 504

35/20 21 hands
Main question, would you call? What could he bet the turn and the river with, not changing his sizing? TT-JJ, maybe some odd KK, or is it too optimistic? missed draws would bet bigger if at all imo.
Also I wonder if bet/folding the turn could be better than x/calling, but what would be the river plan then, x/f? x/c assuming he has many missed draws?
 
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Mon Mar 10, 2014, 03:42 PM
(#2)
dirt eh's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,274
Call is fine, but I don't like the turn play.

I would take this line: B, B, JAM or B, BF to a raise OTT.
 
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Tue Mar 11, 2014, 12:56 AM
(#3)
Roland GTX's Avatar
Since: Jan 2012
Posts: 1,905
Hi Praydk

The second Q on the turn is a bit of a scare card for you both. I think check-calling or leading out can work. It depends on the villain. If he is agressive, he will often see your check as a weakness and bet with draws, pocket pairs and AK type hands in an attempt to push you out of the hand. Many of these hands might fold to a bet from you. If he is passive, he might check behind if you check losing you some value from the hands you are beating. Since there is a flush draw on the board, I lean toward leading out. I think you will get called by villains chasing draws or by villains putting you on a draw often enough to be profitable.

As played, the small villain bet on the river looks weak imo. I think any Qx or house is going to bet more considering the action thus far. Your overpair is beating all hands that would be in doubt on this board. So, we could consider raising the river. Most draws would be folding, but you will get called by medium pairs often enough to make it profitable. Since the villain doesn't have much behind, I would just put him all in. Calling as you did is safe and fine, but raising in this instance will be more profitable in the long run. Although having a better read on the villain would make this an easier choice.

GL and have fun at the tables!

Roland GTX
 

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