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5nl zoom TPTK facing a triple barrel

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5nl zoom TPTK facing a triple barrel - Mon Mar 10, 2014, 03:15 PM
(#1)
Praydk's Avatar
Since: Mar 2012
Posts: 504

17/11 74 hands
flop cbet 2/2
turn cbet 1/1 wouldn't rely much on it
Is it time to give up on the river?
I was concerned as I'm not sure he will triple barrel with QJ here, we beat KJ and that's it.
We have to be 24% good here but vs TT+,44-33,AJs,KJs,AJo,KJo we are good 20%, I don't take into account the times we split. (equilab shows 28%, I take KJ - 8 combos out of 39 possible = 0.2)

Last edited by Praydk; Mon Mar 10, 2014 at 03:21 PM..
 
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Mon Mar 10, 2014, 03:35 PM
(#2)
bhoylegend's Avatar
Since: Jun 2012
Posts: 2,261
Checked my database, just fold on the river, without reads.

Last edited by bhoylegend; Mon Mar 10, 2014 at 03:53 PM..
 
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Mon Mar 10, 2014, 03:47 PM
(#3)
dirt eh's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,274
This one is tough. I don't see very many players triple barreling for thin value at micro stakes. I think this is a fold OTR. Villain is nitty and I only see them doing this with QQ+ and sets. The only bluffs I see in his range are AQ and AK of spades. I don't see them firing three bullets with QJ or KJ, I often see villains checking back AJ here OTR.
 
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Tue Mar 11, 2014, 01:05 AM
(#4)
Roland GTX's Avatar
Since: Jan 2012
Posts: 1,905
Hi Praydk

The villain doesn't seem to get out of line looking at his stats. If anything he is a bit passive (preflop at least). When he bets every street (and the sizing), I think we need to give him credit for having a strong hand such as J10, sets and overpairs being most likely. Without having seen the villain bet the river on a missed draw, I prefer to fold a single pair here. As dirt eh says, I don't think we will see JQ or JK too often. Calling as you did up to the river is fine, but I would fold on the river.

GL and have fun at the tables!

Roland GTX
 

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