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Limped in, got 15 outs, is it right to call an ALL IN?

Limped in, got 15 outs, is it right to call an ALL IN? - Tue Mar 25, 2014, 12:07 AM
WiCD's Avatar
Since: Mar 2014
Posts: 40
9 players, i was on BB with 89 suited, someone after me (not very late position) raised to about 3x or 4x BB, i limped in.

[on the flop],
i got a outside straight and flush draw:
community cards are [10,J,low-card] or [6,7,J], whatever looked dry.

i bet 3xBB, then he re-raised to over 60xBB and was ALL IN,
any other opponents folded,
i called. (i thought he might have a big pair or a set at most)

[turn & river]
i didn't get my outs

he showed his KK, and won the pot.

anyhow,,, Did do the right thing?
Tue Mar 25, 2014, 08:34 AM
JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,857
the determining factor is the pot equity vs hand equity on the flop.

pot equity = number of chips I need to call divided by the size of the pot after my chips would go into it

hand equity = number of outs times (4% or 2% from the rule of 4 and 2)... here for an OESD (8 outs) and being all-in, it would be 4% per out since I'm guaranteed to see both streets, so my hand is worth 32%

If the pot equity is less than 32% then I call. If not, I need to fold.

John (JWK24)


6 Time Bracelet Winner

Tue Mar 25, 2014, 10:23 PM
WiCD's Avatar
Since: Mar 2014
Posts: 40
Ok, that is, The flop gave me a OES and Flush draw, 8 + 9 - 2(duplicated) = 15 outs, is that right?

So the hand equity is about 60%, and therefore, i should call the all-in

Thank you very much!

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