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10NL ZOOM, AA UTG multiway turn decision

10NL ZOOM, AA UTG multiway turn decision - Tue Mar 25, 2014, 11:10 AM
dirt eh's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,274
Turn play: Shove all in? or fold?


Tue Mar 25, 2014, 11:35 AM
birdayy's Avatar
Since: Sep 2012
Posts: 1,179
I think this a fold given we were 3 way OTT and i'd never expect him to bluff for this sizing.

As for his range i'd say he'd flat a tonne preflop given the price he was getting closing the action (~40% of hands imo). This makes it a pain to set up equilab since he has such a wide range and i don't know if he fastplays sets and flopped straights but we are gonna be crushed by his turn raising range regardless.
Tue Mar 25, 2014, 11:36 AM
rkleefstra's Avatar
Since: Feb 2013
Posts: 2,328
I'm going for...fold. His range is very wide as he was the BB and got insane odds to call with virtually any hand.
Would he really raise a bet from a UTG opener that has bet into 3 players OTF, with a (semi-)bluff ??
I believe he has a set or str8 most of the times, maybe "just" 2pair. No worse hand than ours will make a move like that (with those stats)
Tue Mar 25, 2014, 01:38 PM
FireMedic815's Avatar
Since: May 2012
Posts: 2,079
I don't know, I guess its a fold.. these are the spots I struggle with... he could be doing this with an over pair, I mean KK and QQ are probably thinking they are ahead and want to bet to protect. This is where the feel comes in I guess.

this is a tough spot... tbh I might shove here but that is just how I play, and believe me I get burned sometimes but I am good a lot of the time.

I probably ship it, I mean its either a set or an over pair, I am not putting him on the straight.

Last edited by FireMedic815; Tue Mar 25, 2014 at 01:42 PM..
Tue Mar 25, 2014, 03:43 PM
spand42's Avatar
Since: Sep 2010
Posts: 1,496
Originally Posted by birdayy View Post
I think this a fold given we were 3 way OTT and i'd never expect him to bluff for this sizing.
This is like a super-charged Beluga Theorem. We've been mulitway, villain's seen us take aggressive actions at every opportunity and he's basically min-raised us on a blank turn. I think you can pretty comfortably fold this. Sets make up a ton of his range given both the preflop and postflop action.

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