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$2NL, top set on flop, villain bets into you

$2NL, top set on flop, villain bets into you - Sun Apr 06, 2014, 09:07 AM
Sle4zy_E's Avatar
Since: Jul 2012
Posts: 78
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (9 handed) -

MP1 ($1.98)
MP2 ($1.83)
Hero (MP3) ($2.45)
CO ($2.02)
Button ($0.97)
SB ($4.96)
BB ($3.56)
UTG ($0.99)
UTG+1 ($7.16)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Q, Q
UTG calls $0.02, 2 folds, MP2 raises to $0.08, Hero raises to $0.22, 5 folds, MP2 calls $0.14

Flop: ($0.49) 4, 3, Q (2 players)
MP2 bets $0.08,

Do you raise or call and let him continue agression?
Sun Apr 06, 2014, 10:10 AM
geoVARTA's Avatar
Since: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,306
Hi Sle4zy_E,

I'd actually raise preflop to a standard 3x. No need to make discounts for our opponents
I wouldn't count their flop donk bet to be an aggressive line because of their bet size, so I wouldn't expect them to bet the turn that often or with a size big enough to be able to maximize value. But we also crush the board. They really can't have much. So if they are betting small to see a turn card with AK then they have 6 outs to improve or 12% for them to hit OTT and give us action. If they are betting small to try to go to showdown cheaply with JJ then raising will likely get them to fold or if we call we end up playing a small pot with a big a hand - not nice , If they are betting with a slow played AA/KK and trying to induce, then I will oblige However, what would be terrible is if they are betting small to try and hit a spade. That's why I prefer raising, we can even raise small to 0.22$ that way we can keep their week hands in and at the same time charge their FDs and build a pot with our strong hand.
Sun Apr 06, 2014, 11:00 AM
Sle4zy_E's Avatar
Since: Jul 2012
Posts: 78
This is how it played out

So to recap,...

I should not give discounts. We want to give ourselves the chance to play a big pot

I have been more active recently about putting my opponent on a range when making a play. However, I need to become more analytical and start playing scenarios out in my head of "How he will react to a certain bet, given each of his possible hands".
Seeing you explain the possible situation on the flop, was indicative of how my thought process needs to improve.

As is, I think my small flop raise, although close to what you would do, had more to do with begging for a call then accurate range analysis.

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