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What are the odds?

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What are the odds? - Tue Apr 08, 2014, 12:05 PM
(#1)
Sandtrap777's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 3,310
I was playing in the Premiere League last night and I get dealt T8 5 times in a row, what are the odds of that happening?

*********** # 16 **************
PokerStars Hand #114465454415: Tournament #885886882, Freeroll Hold'em No Limit - Level II (30/60) - 2014/04/07 20:15:04 ET
Table '885886882 18' 9-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 9: Sandtrap777 (2440 in chips)
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Sandtrap777 [Tc 8s]


*********** # 17 **************
PokerStars Hand #114465476194: Tournament #885886882, Freeroll Hold'em No Limit - Level II (30/60) - 2014/04/07 20:15:44 ET
Table '885886882 18' 9-max Seat #8 is the button
Seat 9: Sandtrap777 (2380 in chips)
Sandtrap777: posts small blind 30
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Sandtrap777 [8h Ts]


*********** # 18 **************
PokerStars Hand #114465499142: Tournament #885886882, Freeroll Hold'em No Limit - Level II (30/60) - 2014/04/07 20:16:25 ET
Table '885886882 18' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 9: Sandtrap777 (2350 in chips)
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Sandtrap777 [8s Td]


*********** # 19 **************
PokerStars Hand #114465522773: Tournament #885886882, Freeroll Hold'em No Limit - Level II (30/60) - 2014/04/07 20:17:09 ET
Table '885886882 18' 9-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 9: Sandtrap777 (2350 in chips)
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Sandtrap777 [Tc 8d]


*********** # 20 **************
PokerStars Hand #114465568612: Tournament #885886882, Freeroll Hold'em No Limit - Level II (30/60) - 2014/04/07 20:18:33 ET
Table '885886882 18' 9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 9: Sandtrap777 (2350 in chips)
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Sandtrap777 [Td 8c]


And the following hand had a T and the following a 8.... could of just sat out....LOL

It's got to be rigged.........LOL (J\K)
 
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Tue Apr 08, 2014, 12:37 PM
(#2)
Roland GTX's Avatar
Since: Jan 2012
Posts: 1,905
My guess would be 1 in 1326

GL Sandtrap!
 
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Tue Apr 08, 2014, 12:54 PM
(#3)
Tonk Shuffle's Avatar
Since: Jul 2011
Posts: 618
I'll take a stab at this:

The cards are the same, but not identical suits. So it would be same odds as being dealt any random hand. If they were of the same suit, then...wow. Still, you would have to play a lot of hands before seeing something like T8 five times in a row.

The odds being dealt any random hand is 52 x 51 / 2 = 1326 (also ignoring order)

Therefore the answer is 1326 x 1326 x 1326 x 1326 x 1326

But I could be wrong....
 
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Tue Apr 08, 2014, 01:05 PM
(#4)
Sandtrap777's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 3,310
Should of said:
The odds of getting T8 5 times in a row (no matter the suit)

There's 1326 possible combinations of 2 cards in a deck
There's 16 possible T8
There's 1 in 82.875 of hitting T8

So 5 times in a row would be 1 in 3,909,468,400

Does that make sense?
 
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Tue Apr 08, 2014, 01:24 PM
(#5)
Tonk Shuffle's Avatar
Since: Jul 2011
Posts: 618
Yes, factor in combinations, that makes more sense. That is still a lot of hands. I would rather be dealt AA five times in row, but not during a freeroll.
 
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Tue Apr 08, 2014, 01:25 PM
(#6)
JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,833
(Super-Moderator)
BronzeStar
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sandtrap777 View Post
Should of said:
The odds of getting T8 5 times in a row (no matter the suit)

There's 1326 possible combinations of 2 cards in a deck
There's 16 possible T8
There's 1 in 82.875 of hitting T8

So 5 times in a row would be 1 in 3,909,468,400

Does that make sense?
It does to me.

John (JWK24)


Super-Moderator



6 Time Bracelet Winner


 
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Tue Apr 08, 2014, 01:29 PM
(#7)
Fadyen's Avatar
Since: Apr 2012
Posts: 1,917
Yeh that sounds about right. Seems insane but when you think over 114 BILLION hands have been dealt on Stars it kind of makes sense that it's happened.



Tournament of Champions Winner 2013

Bracelet Winner

 
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Tue Apr 08, 2014, 02:00 PM
(#8)
baud2death's Avatar
Since: Nov 2012
Posts: 1,249
BronzeStar
I think I had AA on 5 tables all at once, it was either a high improbability or the random generator got stuck or something

Worst one that I get all the time is that hand on table #1 is always the nuts for table #2
 
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Tue Apr 08, 2014, 03:12 PM
(#9)
666bonez187's Avatar
Since: Oct 2012
Posts: 745
i think if it came out one more time the rng would of self imploded
 
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Tue Apr 08, 2014, 05:53 PM
(#10)
spand42's Avatar
Since: Sep 2010
Posts: 1,496
A TED-ed video on how many combinations of possible decks there are:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uNS1...6RG4pDcRjpaPj4
 
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Wed Apr 09, 2014, 02:23 PM
(#11)
ArtySmokesPS's Avatar
Since: Oct 2011
Posts: 7,355
Nice clip, Spand. It's kind of funny that riggies claim to have spotted patterns in the RNG, when a random deck has more permutations than there are atoms on the Earth.


Bracelet Winner
 
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Wed Apr 09, 2014, 03:00 PM
(#12)
Sandtrap777's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 3,310
Quote:
Originally Posted by spand42 View Post
A TED-ed video on how many combinations of possible decks there are:
Basically it's a video explaining how many combinations of 52 cards there is, nothing to do with my post, but still an interesting video.

I've watched almost all of TED-ed videos, they are great
 

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