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Best way to play this hand. Mr.Dave

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Best way to play this hand. Mr.Dave - Tue Apr 22, 2014, 09:36 AM
(#1)
adikumar2010's Avatar
Since: Mar 2011
Posts: 1,094
$1.50 Sit n Go 90 Man Knockout 15mins Slow blind structure

PokerStars Hand #115142893155: Tournament #899555958, $1.08+$0.27+$0.15 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level I (10/20) - 2014/04/22 18:48:32 IST [2014/04/22 9:18:32 ET]
Table '899555958 7' 9-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: m1ha!967 (1470 in chips)
Seat 2: forvardok (1215 in chips)
Seat 3: brave221 (1170 in chips)
Seat 4: adikumar2010 (1920 in chips)
Seat 5: looser676 (1480 in chips)
Seat 6: A2KIM (990 in chips)
Seat 7: Anfat449 (1200 in chips)
Seat 8: TWGOK (1450 in chips)
looser676: posts small blind 10
A2KIM: posts big blind 20
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to adikumar2010 [Jd Js]
Anfat449: calls 20
TWGOK: folds
m1ha!967: folds
forvardok: folds
brave221: folds
adikumar2010: raises 50 to 70
looser676: folds
A2KIM: folds
Anfat449: calls 50
*** FLOP *** [4c Th Qs]
Anfat449: checks
adikumar2010: bets 85
Anfat449: calls 85
*** TURN *** [4c Th Qs] [Jc]
Anfat449: checks
adikumar2010: bets 170
Anfat449: raises 210 to 380
adikumar2010: ??

I want to know the best way to play it, first I want to know what should I do on turn here if this is the correct line I took.


STATS :
 
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Tue Apr 22, 2014, 10:01 AM
(#2)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,512
(Head Trainer)
Hi adi,

I presume most unknowns aren't limp/calling pre with AK or QQ (thanks for the stats shot on level 2, but still unknown at your decision point since you only have 18 hands, so never played with them before). So hands in is range beating us = K9, 98. Hands we are beating: TT, 44, AQ, QJ, QT, KQ/KJ/KT if he's aggro. And that's just the hands that make sense. I know from doing reviews in the $1.50 games there is a ton of play that makes no sense and people lose their minds with all sorts of nonsense. So my inclination is to move it all in here with the set on the turn even though the check/raise normally shows a lot of strength.

I like a raise pre to 100 to iso the limper. Flop bet is fine. Turn I would bet bigger than half the pot... top pair didn't change, and a number of his 1 pair flop calls have turned a straight draw as well, so we're not extracting enough value here imo from his worse 1 pair/draw hands.


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Tue Apr 22, 2014, 10:52 AM
(#3)
Fadyen's Avatar
Since: Apr 2012
Posts: 1,917
*Moved to tourney section* - Fadyen



Tournament of Champions Winner 2013

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Tue Apr 22, 2014, 10:54 AM
(#4)
adikumar2010's Avatar
Since: Mar 2011
Posts: 1,094
But I was sniffing AK in his range, coz you told me that baluga's theorem is 90% correct. And it is correct for recreational players.

So I opted to make a idiotic nitty catious ultra-safe play which is it -EV play in long term. I choose to flat his turn check-raise and re-evaluate on river (mabve fold to a river shove only)

Now see this:

http://www.boomplayer.com/en/poker-h...329_E1C2F15E12

- I don't think I can fold to such a good price on the river he is giving although I am 90% sure he has AK, can I fold?

Last edited by adikumar2010; Tue Apr 22, 2014 at 12:07 PM..
 
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Tue Apr 22, 2014, 12:02 PM
(#5)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,512
(Head Trainer)
Never, ever fold this river.

Re-read the baluga theorem... it applies to 1 pair hands. There are a lot of hands in his turn check/raising range that beat 1 pair, but don't be a set of J's.


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