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1:4.15 to make the river call

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1:4.15 to make the river call - Wed Apr 23, 2014, 11:14 AM
(#1)
adikumar2010's Avatar
Since: Mar 2011
Posts: 1,094
What should I do here, it looks like he has a boat. Am I priced in to make these kind of calls, its around 1:4.15 to make the river call in general with trips to such a board texture ?

I think your answer will be 90% make the call, but I wonder when do we make those good laydowns when we know we are beat only on the HIGH STAKES POKER TV Show.


Blinds 50/100: MTT
My cards: As 7h

Preflop
lucky_bastered (UTG) raised 100
vinsalian (MP) called 100
eagle9898 (CO) folded
Manb21 (D) folded
kkiirrnn (SB) called 75
adikumar2010 (BB) called 50

Flop cards Ac 6h Qc
kkiirrnn checked
adikumar2010 checked
lucky_bastered checked
vinsalian checked

Turn card Ad
kkiirrnn checked
adikumar2010 raised 220
lucky_bastered folded
vinsalian folded
kkiirrnn called 220

River card 4d
kkiirrnn checked
adikumar2010 raised 710
kkiirrnn min raised 1420
[Pot Size: 2940]
adikumar2010: ??? (710 to call)

Last edited by adikumar2010; Wed Apr 23, 2014 at 01:47 PM..
 
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Wed Apr 23, 2014, 12:33 PM
(#2)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,487
(Head Trainer)
Please repost the actual hand history. This will not be answered without accurate cards, stack information, etc.


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Wed Apr 23, 2014, 01:48 PM
(#3)
adikumar2010's Avatar
Since: Mar 2011
Posts: 1,094
My Starting stack: 3230
kkiirrnn Stack : 2500

So after he raised me on river, he had around 740 more left roughly.
 
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Wed Apr 23, 2014, 02:06 PM
(#4)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,487
(Head Trainer)
I don't think we are good here nearly often enough to make calling correct. We are basically bluff catching, in a spot where villain has no bluffing range.

We have to be right 20% to break even, but I would think he'll show up with some weird bluff 5-10% of the time max. I don't think it's a high stakes poker fold, on HSP they will bluff with a higher frequency, turn hands like QT into a bluff at times, etc, so there it's probably a call. Here it's not too difficult to bet/fold this river imo.


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