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Carnival - Biggest $55 Hand-for-hand Bubble Play

Carnival - Biggest $55 Hand-for-hand Bubble Play - Sun Apr 27, 2014, 07:07 PM
dirt eh's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,274
This is during hand-for-hand play on the bubble. Is this play correct?

HERO - M: 5.9, BB: 15, Adjusted BB: 8.8

SB - VPIP: 16, PFR: 15, 3B: 10.7, AF: 2.5, Hands: 63
M: 0.6, BB: 1, Adjusted BB: 0.8

BB - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 11.1, AF: 1.5, Hands: 82
M: 18.6, BB: 49, Adjusted BB: 27.9

Sun Apr 27, 2014, 09:02 PM
Profess Awe's Avatar
Since: Apr 2011
Posts: 1,579
Brutal run out. I'm guessing you made the money anyway cos you can assume that a shorter stack will busto during hand for hand.
In which case its borderline for me with K9o on button and 15bb. Actually the SB is a non-factor so I'd shove with a modicum of confidence. I don't think its ever too far wrong if you feel you are 99% guaranteed to cash when the worst happens.
Mon Apr 28, 2014, 12:33 PM
ChewMe1's Avatar
Since: Jan 2012
Posts: 574
Hi dirt eh

I like the shove it's fine but if the small blind had a playable stack size then I would opt to fold the hand. We're effectively shoving K9 into one player and K9 is statistically stronger than a randomly dealt hand.

I also imagine this tournament had a huuuuge player pool so even though we are playing hand for hand it's very likely that someone with a shorter stack than you will bust out of the tournament so we're very likely to get paid whether we win the hand or not.

Cheers, Chris.

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