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NL10 - check raised on turn wtih AA

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NL10 - check raised on turn wtih AA - Wed Apr 30, 2014, 06:21 PM
(#1)
pockettones's Avatar
Since: Mar 2013
Posts: 151
Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10, $0.02 ante No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $15.41 (154.1 bb)
BB: $10 (100 bb)
UTG: $23.94 (239.4 bb)
MP: $38.46 (384.6 bb)
CO: $16.59 (165.9 bb)
Hero (BTN): $10.08 (100.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with K K
UTG raises to $0.20, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.70, 2 folds, UTG calls $0.50

Flop: ($1.67) 2 Q 9 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $1, UTG calls $1

Turn: ($3.67) 5 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $2.70, UTG raises to $7.10, Hero raises to $8.36 and is all-in, UTG calls $1.26

River: ($20.39) J (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results:
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villain 44/18/10 fold to cbet 20% over 100 hands. Not sure what to make of the c/r on the turn but against this guy I dont think I can fold... maybe he could have some queen or draw?

And yeah I got KK not AA did the title wrong lol
 
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Thu May 01, 2014, 12:07 AM
(#2)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,499
(Head Trainer)
Hi pocket,

I think this is just a fold tbh. The guy is loose but somewhat passive, we've shown massive strength at every opportunity, and he's check-raising the turn which really looks like a set. Seems like a Baluga theorem spot.

I think when you say he can have some queen or draw, you're putting him on hands you can beat. I would guess a Q would raise on the flop, if it were going to raise, but in the hands of a this guy he's probably check/calling down a Q. A draw has 2 problems... one that it probably raises the flop if he's going to play it aggressively, not the turn, and the other is that we block a number of the draws by holding the Ks. I would expect to get shown QQ, 99, or Q9 a ton in this spot. (Edit: or 55 lol, same thing though at the point he check/raises).


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