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Downswings

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Downswings - Wed Apr 30, 2014, 06:40 PM
(#1)
pockettones's Avatar
Since: Mar 2013
Posts: 151
Hey guys, Ive played around 70k hands of NL10 6-max and have been swinging pretty hard from between 35BI and 45BI, I have 40k hands missing because I changed pc and HM2 sync went wrong after swapping PCs but I was down around 10BI below EV there and Im +3BI above EV with my current hand. Currently at a new low of 27BI and its a bit concerning for me. Is it possible this is a product of negative variance? I've reviewed a lot of hands and watched tons of vids I honestly dont know what I can do to improve my game at this point. Ive increased my bet sizing, gone for thin value a lot more and put more emphasis on player-specific play.

My stats over 25k hands for NL10 are 17/12.9/5.3

W$WDSD 41.7, WTSD 25.6%, won $ at SD 57%

59.6% cbet, 51.7% turn bet, 41.9%

60%, 36%, 22% are my fold to flop, turn and river bet
respectively

65% fold to 3bet, 25% call and 10% 4bet.

I have no stats on my blind play but I feel Im fine with that, I raise the button pretty much all the time unless Im up against an aggressive defender or a fish and I adjust my defend/call range against my opponents steal and resteal ranges.

Last edited by pockettones; Wed Apr 30, 2014 at 07:12 PM..
 
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Wed Apr 30, 2014, 08:32 PM
(#2)
TrustySam's Avatar
Since: Aug 2010
Posts: 8,291
BronzeStar
A while back, I posted an old graph from when I first started playing 10nl:

http://www.pokerschoolonline.com/for...886#post493886


One stat that was low for me was my 'river call efficiency', which was something like 1.25? And then I watched/studied a ton of live training videos and everything seemed to get better. Maybe that's another number that you could check? Although maybe yours is fine

Last edited by TrustySam; Wed Apr 30, 2014 at 08:36 PM..
 
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Wed Apr 30, 2014, 09:12 PM
(#3)
pockettones's Avatar
Since: Mar 2013
Posts: 151
How do I find that stat?

And heres a pic of the 25k hands I have.

http://postimg.org/image/4fkvam6bh/

The insert image doesnt seem to be working for me
 
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Wed Apr 30, 2014, 10:50 PM
(#4)
TrustySam's Avatar
Since: Aug 2010
Posts: 8,291
BronzeStar
Oh, are you using HM? I use PT, but hopefully somebody else who uses HM will stop by and know where it is?
 
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Thu May 01, 2014, 10:51 AM
(#5)
ArtySmokesPS's Avatar
Since: Oct 2011
Posts: 7,353
The "River call efficiency" stat can be found in HEM2 by clicking on "stats" and scrolling down the list to "River". Anything between 1 and 2 is usually fine. Since your W$SD number is a nice 57%, I doubt you have much of a problem on the river.


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