Home / Community / Forum / Poker Education / Texas Hold'Em Tournament Section (MTTs & STTs) /

How bad is this fold?

How bad is this fold? - Tue May 06, 2014, 07:52 PM
adikumar2010's Avatar
Since: Mar 2011
Posts: 1,094
I thought even if he has AK, why flip for 40BB more. This is the reason I folded. Also it is very slow structure 15mins blind level tournament.

Tue May 06, 2014, 11:32 PM
JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,814
Hi adikumar2010!

With QQ and a small raise in front of me, I'm going to make a standard 3-bet, which is to between 3x the previous bet (1314) and a pot-sized raise if it's higher (1401). I don't want to bet small, as I can be giving the opps the correct odds to try to outdraw me with Ax or Kx.

I now get 4-bet shoved on. The key here is the opp's 4-bet %, which is 20%. I now go to pokerstove to see how QQ fares against the opp's range and I get that I am a 70.6% favorite... so this is not a flip. Even if I lower their % to 10%, I'm still a 2-1 favorite holding QQ.

This is too big of an edge to pass up, so I'm calling.

If it was a very tight opp, it would take narrowing this to under a 3% range to make me an underdog in the hand, as even at 3%, I would be ahead in a flip... but this opp is very loose and aggressive, not tight and passive.

Hope this helps and good luck at the tables.

John (JWK24)


6 Time Bracelet Winner

Wed May 07, 2014, 11:57 AM
Profess Awe's Avatar
Since: Apr 2011
Posts: 1,579
I doubt that villain would cold 4 bet 20% even if this was a reliable 4bet stat over a decent sample. That said the simpler question re how bad is this fold would be do they really ship here with AA & KK?

Getting PokerStars is easy: download and install the PokerStars game software, create your free player account, and validate your email address. Clicking on the download poker button will lead to the installation of compatible poker software on your PC of 51.7 MB, which will enable you to register and play poker on the PokerStars platform. To uninstall PokerStars use the Windows uninstaller: click Start > Control Panel and then select Add or Remove programs > Select PokerStars and click Uninstall or Remove.

Copyright (c) PokerSchoolOnline.com. All rights reserved, Rational Group, Douglas Bay Complex, King Edward Road, Onchan, Isle of Man, IM3 1DZ. You can email us on support@pokerschoolonline.com