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10NL 6max zoom, Fold/call vs shove ?

10NL 6max zoom, Fold/call vs shove ? - Fri May 16, 2014, 07:55 PM
rkleefstra's Avatar
Since: Feb 2013
Posts: 2,328

UTG stats: none
BTN stats: 50 / 0/0 over 2 hands
BB stats: 15 / 7 and a 3bet% of 25 over 30 hands

I bet to iso the limper, btn calls and BB massive overbet shoves 55blinds

Do I have enough to call ?

If I call, big chance BTN will call as well and my odds will be even less so.... easy fold ?

What about that 3bet% of 25? Does that widens his 3bet-range to a point that a call is +ev?
Fri May 16, 2014, 10:58 PM
dirt eh's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,274
This is a fold.
Sat May 17, 2014, 05:26 AM
spand42's Avatar
Since: Sep 2010
Posts: 1,496
Assuming the button folds, you need 43% equity to break even on a call.

I have no idea what villain's range is, but it likely consists of a lot of crappy Ax and pocket pairs. Against this range, you only have a 39.7% equity. Bear in mind that it might just be the case that this is how villain chooses to play his premiums and your equity might be much lower than ~40% and I think you have a pretty comfortable fold here.

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