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[10NL Zoom] Middle flush facing river raise

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[10NL Zoom] Middle flush facing river raise - Tue May 20, 2014, 03:17 AM
(#1)
grind4f00d's Avatar
Since: May 2014
Posts: 29
Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2506869
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $10.98
SB: $23.22
BB: $11.79
Hero (UTG): $11.63
MP: $15.80
CO: $10.15

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG with 8 9
Hero raises to $0.25, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.25, SB calls $0.20, BB calls $0.15

Flop: ($1.00) 3 J 6 (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.70, BTN calls $0.70, SB folds, BB folds

Turn: ($2.40) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $1.70, BTN calls $1.70

River: ($5.80) 8 (2 players)
Hero bets $3.30, BTN raises to $8.33 all in, Hero ???

BTN: 109.8 BB (VPIP: 31.25, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 13.33, Hands: 35)

How do you think about my line & sizing here?

OTR are we ever good? I think folding should save us $$$ most of the time
 
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Tue May 20, 2014, 12:14 PM
(#2)
Paddy Gar's Avatar
Since: Apr 2010
Posts: 439
Hey grind!

Yeah I think the board helps us here with the fold. We're beating no flushes here. 45cc is a straight flush, 4c7c/5c7c unlikely. Villain has acxc,kcqc,qcjc,etc. Basically he has all better flushes in his range.

I think our range for betting 3 streets is sets, some flushes.

Given the strength we've shown I don't expect villain to be bluffing this spot, think we have to call with some better flushes but not the 9 high.

I would expect villain to raise his sets otf, given the runout if he didn't I don't think he would jam them otr. Also don't think he jams two pair .

Last edited by Paddy Gar; Tue May 20, 2014 at 12:20 PM..
 
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Tue May 20, 2014, 12:18 PM
(#3)
grind4f00d's Avatar
Since: May 2014
Posts: 29
45cc is the nuttiest flush lol :P

thanks Paddy
 
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Tue May 20, 2014, 12:21 PM
(#4)
Paddy Gar's Avatar
Since: Apr 2010
Posts: 439
Quote:
Originally Posted by grind4f00d View Post
45cc is the nuttiest flush lol :P

thanks Paddy
lol yeah saw that as i re read my post.

I think sizing is fine too btw.
 
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Wed May 21, 2014, 03:08 AM
(#5)
Roland GTX's Avatar
Since: Jan 2012
Posts: 1,905
Hi grind4f00d!

We can encounter players at 10NL who would mistakenly slowplay a set or even an overpair this way. However, this villain is quite aggressive preflop. He would most likely have 3b preflop with a big pair. Looking at his postflop aggression% would help here, but I will assume that he would play a flopped set aggressively on this board as well. This narrows his range to suited connectors and Axs giving him a flush and air. It seems unlikely that he would bluff raise with air on the river since, as Paddy pointed out, your line looks very strong. Thus, we can narrow his range to primarily flushes. There aren't many flushes worse than ours. So, folding to the river raise looks best.

Note: opening from utg with 89s is marginal especially with your small betsize preflop. I prefer to have J10s, but may open smaller if I am targeting a fish in the blinds for example. Also, I open for 3x or 3.5x from utg. If you get 3b you will need to fold. Moreover, you will often get a string of callers at the microstakes as you did here. With suited connectors, this can be a great situation when you flop well. But more often than not, you will be creating a tough postflop situation resulting in a fold. It might be worth checking in your stat tracker to see how profitable you are with medium suited connectors from utg.

Your betsizing on the other streets looks good.
 
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Wed May 21, 2014, 03:10 AM
(#6)
Roland GTX's Avatar
Since: Jan 2012
Posts: 1,905
PS: Welcome to the forum grind4f00d! Keep posting hands and commenting on other peoples. Be sure to check out the video archive and Live Training as well. There is a ton of good stuff here - and it's all free

Roland GTX
 

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