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[10NL Zoom] AKo 3bet pot OOP missed flop

[10NL Zoom] AKo 3bet pot OOP missed flop - Thu May 22, 2014, 01:06 AM
grind4f00d's Avatar
Since: May 2014
Posts: 29
Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2508667
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BTN: 123.4 BB (VPIP: 20.85, PFR: 15.41, 3Bet Preflop: 6.15, Hands: 339)
Hero (SB): 181.6 BB
BB: 183.9 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
UTG: 148.3 BB (VPIP: 6.25, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 16)
MP: 100 BB (VPIP: 38.79, PFR: 33.62, 3Bet Preflop: 15.56, Hands: 121)
CO: 257.6 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 3)

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with K A
UTG raises to $0.31, 1 fold, CO calls $0.31, BTN calls $0.31, 1 fold, Hero raises to $1.45, 1 fold, CO calls $1.14, 1 fold

Flop: ($3.57) 8 T 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $2, CO calls $2

Turn: ($7.57) Q (2 players)

Barrel turn of give up? I doubt that turn helps us although we now have a gutshot as QJ, AQ may flat flop, while Tx, JJ might call once more

If turn is any then i'd be inclined to barrel twice

Last edited by grind4f00d; Thu May 22, 2014 at 01:08 AM..
Thu May 22, 2014, 01:13 PM
Paddy Gar's Avatar
Since: Apr 2010
Posts: 439
Hello again grind

Interesting hand. Is the CO a reg? If he is these are my thoughts. I'm not too worried about the p.flop call by co. I would expect him to flat pretty wide when you guys are deep, calling another 1.14 he could well be trying to set mine here with effective stacks at 180bb.

Flop call is a wide range. You sizing allows him to peel with hands like 8x, some overs, obviously can have jacks and ten x in his range. He can also have queens too, although I would expect a reg to backraise queens pre flop.

My thoughts ott are given he can be quite wide here, we should bet again. What i would suggest is a bet on the smaller side, basically to set up close to a pot sized shove otr.

We can fold out some smaller pairs ott and floats, while villain will raise any sets/monsters at this point deep. Smaller sizing keeps his range weaker for the river too.

Now I would bomb a ton of river cards, any club, and a lot of bricks. We kept his range wide otf and ott, so now we try to fold out jacks, tx, and give any float that paired the queen a really tough spot. We do block some AQ combos, and KQ.

Normally if this were 100bb deep i'd be really concerned about co flatting the squeeze, putting him on a fairly narrow range of jj/qq/some aq/same hand. As such i'd probably c/fold turn. Here however i think he's a lot wider, and think that queen is a scarecard for a lot of his flop calling range, as opposed to a good one 100bb deep.

Last edited by Paddy Gar; Thu May 22, 2014 at 02:15 PM..
Thu May 22, 2014, 03:05 PM
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,501
(Head Trainer)

I think this is a good card to barrel for lots of the reasons Paddy stated. It increased both our hand equity (adding 4 outs, 3 to the nuts), and our fold equity... especially so considering on deeper stacks we may be getting peeled light on the flop more often.

I would size the bet fairly large personally, like $6, to really turn the screws on 8x, Tx, weak pair+gut shots like 99/JJ, etc. If this bet gets raised, we can comfortably fold as our hand equity goes in the toilet vs. his turn raising range facing a big bet. And if he calls, it narrows him much more to Qx hands that peeled the flop and draws, and we should actually fair well check-calling blank rivers, check-folding when draws complete.

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