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[10NL Zoom] Turn top pair decent kicker facing pot sized donk bet OTR

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[10NL Zoom] Turn top pair decent kicker facing pot sized donk bet OTR - Wed May 28, 2014, 11:17 PM
(#1)
grind4f00d's Avatar
Since: May 2014
Posts: 29
 
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Wed May 28, 2014, 11:23 PM
(#2)
grind4f00d's Avatar
Since: May 2014
Posts: 29
Hero (BTN): 102.3 BB
SB: 62.5 BB (VPIP: 22.64, PFR: 13.21, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 55)
BB: 48 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 50.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 2)
UTG: 104.1 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
MP: 185.4 BB (VPIP: 40.00, PFR: 40.00, 3Bet Preflop: 50.00, Hands: 5)
CO: 158.7 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 9.52, Hands: 49)

i guess this was a call but i'm not too sure

first, all obvious draws busted out and i don't think villain would value bet anything like a pair of Aces with better kicker that way, unless he binked sth silly as sets of deuces and wanted Hero to pay him off
 
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Thu May 29, 2014, 08:46 AM
(#3)
spand42's Avatar
Since: Sep 2010
Posts: 1,496
Admittedly we have very few reads on the villain, but I think it's fair to assume that he's probably not a regular and he's more like a fishy calling station.

On the flop there's arguments for both CBetting and checking back. I'm more inclined to have this in my checking range. We've got the best hand a decent amount of the time and this villain isn't likely going to put pressure on us. There's also a decent amount of good turn cards for us that will either give us two pair, some kind of straight draw and we can even credibly bet on a K or Q turn if it's checked to us.

On the river when a passive villain like this donks big into us after we've bet at all three opportunities we've had, this is a snap-fold for me. I've made enough calls of bets like this to know that this is almost never a bluff, and we can't beat anything that he's betting for value like this.
 

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