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25NL ZOOM, AA IP vs. XR OTT

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25NL ZOOM, AA IP vs. XR OTT - Wed Jun 04, 2014, 09:25 PM
(#1)
dirt eh's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,274
Villain... 9 hands.

I think that we should be going with the hand here? PUMP or DUMP?

 
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Wed Jun 04, 2014, 10:24 PM
(#2)
Paddy Gar's Avatar
Since: Apr 2010
Posts: 439
How many tables are they playing? Not too happy with the situation, reg villain should have a pretty tight calling range oop here. It would be pretty optimistic to think they're raising a club draw ott with that sizing. We're only losing to 6combos here though, and without ace of clubs I see why you want to go with it.


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Thu Jun 05, 2014, 06:59 AM
(#3)
spand42's Avatar
Since: Sep 2010
Posts: 1,496
With his turn sizing and the way the action has gone down, this looks like classic Beluga theorem. He can have 76s, TT or QQ.

Like Paddy says it's pretty optimistic that villain is raising as a bluff or semi-bluff.
 
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Thu Jun 05, 2014, 12:03 PM
(#4)
geoVARTA's Avatar
Since: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,306
Given the board is paired, I think we might expect to see more slow plays with TT and QQ. Not that they can't have TT or QQ because of their raise size and them being OOP (so they might be raising now to be able to shove river, instead of just calling and leading river or checking and hoping for us to bet?) AA/KK would have probably 4bet pre. Also the card removal effect makes its less likely they have AQ or AcKc. I would actually rather have KK than AA in this spot because we can add more combos of AQ to their range although the only significant Ace here is the Ace of clubs. But I think the trick in the hand is their turn x/r size because if they do pick up additional outs with a semi-bluff of some sort I would expect a x/shove instead. So after this ramble, I'm folding to this size and calling to a shove?? Dirt eh, you bring the toughest hands!
 
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Thu Jun 05, 2014, 12:27 PM
(#5)
dirt eh's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,274
Quote:
Originally Posted by spand42 View Post
With his turn sizing and the way the action has gone down, this looks like classic Beluga theorem. He can have 76s, TT or QQ.

Like Paddy says it's pretty optimistic that villain is raising as a bluff or semi-bluff.
Spand, is this a trend at these stakes to flat 76s, 56s, 86s etc. OOP with only 100bb effectively?
 
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Thu Jun 05, 2014, 12:34 PM
(#6)
dirt eh's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,274
Quote:
Originally Posted by geoVARTA View Post
Dirt eh, you bring the toughest hands!
Well that's the point isn't it?
 

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