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Zoom FR 10nl, hard turn spot with set.

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Zoom FR 10nl, hard turn spot with set. - Sat Jun 07, 2014, 08:47 PM
(#1)
Justinovskis's Avatar
Since: Sep 2013
Posts: 36
Both villians are recreational players. Decided to flat, to set-mine basically.

Should I x/f turn ? or just call ?

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $10 (100 bb)
BB: $4.10 (41 bb)
UTG+1: $10.66 (106.6 bb)
UTG+2: $21.23 (212.3 bb)
MP1: $10 (100 bb)
MP2: $10 (100 bb)
MP3: $11.92 (119.2 bb)
CO: $35.69 (356.9 bb)
BTN: $11.46 (114.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with T T
UTG+1 calls $0.10, UTG+2 folds, MP1 calls $0.10, 2 folds, CO raises to $0.30, BTN folds, Hero calls $0.25, 2 folds, MP1 calls $0.20

Flop: ($1.10) T 7 K (3 players)
Hero checks, MP1 bets $0.52, CO raises to $1.04, Hero raises to $3.63, MP1 calls $3.11, CO calls $2.59

Turn: ($11.99) 4 (3 players)
Hero bets $6.07 and is all-in, MP1 calls $6.07 and is all-in, CO calls $6.07

River: ($30.20) Q (3 players, 2 are all-in)

Results:
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Sun Jun 08, 2014, 12:12 AM
(#2)
birdayy's Avatar
Since: Sep 2012
Posts: 1,179
The turn is a terrible card given the flop action.

I would x/decide ott (ie if MP1 shoves and CO calls we can fold).

I think shoving is overplaying our hand.
 
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Sun Jun 08, 2014, 01:10 AM
(#3)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,510
(Head Trainer)
Hi Justin,

I agree with birdayy here, given the flop action check/decide seems better to me.


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Mon Jun 09, 2014, 06:50 PM
(#4)
spand42's Avatar
Since: Sep 2010
Posts: 1,496
Quote:
Originally Posted by birdayy View Post
I would x/decide ott (ie if MP1 shoves and CO calls we can fold).
I agree with check/deciding but I think it's very close whether we should call if both players shove.

If both villains shove we're getting 3.98:1 on a call meaning we need 20.1% equity. These are some ranges I plugged into Equilab with one player having a flush and the other having overplayed 77, two pair, flush draws and flushes:

Equity Win Tie
UTG 20.67% 20.67% 0.00% { ThTc }
UTG+1 42.21% 42.21% 0.00% { QsJs }
UTG+2 37.12% 37.12% 0.00% { 77, KTs, AsKs, As9s, Ks9s, As8s, Ks8s, 9s8s, Ks7s, As6s, 8s6s, As5s, As3s, As2s, KTo, AdKs, AhKs, AsKd, AsKh, AsKc, AcKs }


So against these ranges we should actually call, although obviously it's very close and you can possibly find ways of tweaking the ranges.
 

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