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NL5 - Facing river overbet shove with AK

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NL5 - Facing river overbet shove with AK - Wed Jun 25, 2014, 06:59 AM
(#1)
pockettones's Avatar
Since: Mar 2013
Posts: 151
Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05, $0.01 ante No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
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Hero (CO): $7.23 (144.6 bb)
BTN: $14.70 (294 bb)
SB: $8.51 (170.2 bb)
BB: $12.65 (253 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with K A
Hero raises to $0.15, BTN folds, SB raises to $0.50, BB folds, Hero calls $0.35

Flop: ($1.09) K 9 A (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($1.09) 6 (2 players)
SB bets $0.70, Hero calls $0.70

River: ($2.49) Q (2 players)
SB bets $7.30 and is all-in, Hero calls $6.02


Villain is 4.1% 3bet from the bb (I somehow thought he was 20% from the bb) and is 21/16 with an af of 3.4. I beat aq and missed draws, given I have 2pair with AK I block KK and AA so most likely he has QQ if he has me beat. Thing is shoving a bluff here is pretty crazy.
 
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Wed Jun 25, 2014, 08:28 AM
(#2)
95NiX's Avatar
Since: Apr 2011
Posts: 115
Why did you check the flop ? I would have made a continuation bet considering the board. With a bet I hope that lower Aces call, chase away hands like 10/QQ/JJ etc. and make it expensive for flush/straight draws to see the turn. It also gives you more information, considering the fact that villain is unlikely to call a bet with hands like 1010/JJ/QQ etc.

On the turn he bets $0.70. Maybe he has AQ and thinks it is good enough to chase you away because you checked the flop. I don't think villain is betting here with 1010/JJ/QQ to be honest, so I'm guessing he has a lower Ace or AA/KK and is hoping to trap you. However, the 6 of diamonds gives you also
the nut flush draw. I think I'm raising here. If he has a lower Ace he would probably call or fold, while he is probably raising with AA or KK. If he raises, I would call to see the river (considering the small chance that villain has AA or KK and the chance to hit the nutflush).

The riverbet of villain is huge considering the pot. I don't think he is bluffing here, because there is no flush possible and 10J is unlikely (villain is 4% 3-betting from bb). I think he has something like AQ or QQ in this situation. However, I don't exclude 10J, he might have 10 J of diamonds trying to catch the flush on the turn and got lucky on the river. I think he would have value bet AA/KK, so that is also unlikely.

I don't think I could have folded this river. You called, so you know his hand right ?


Bracelet Winner

 
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Thu Jun 26, 2014, 09:58 PM
(#3)
pockettones's Avatar
Since: Mar 2013
Posts: 151
Turns out he had KK lol. I dont like to include results until after I get results so I don't have any results oriented opinions :p
 
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Fri Jun 27, 2014, 01:26 AM
(#4)
marvinsytan's Avatar
Since: Aug 2010
Posts: 6,453
2pr AK oh well CHIPS please
 

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