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I think I played it fine!

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I think I played it fine! - Sun Jul 13, 2014, 09:11 PM
(#1)
adikumar2010's Avatar
Since: Mar 2011
Posts: 1,094
It is $11 Phase tournament it's new to pokerstars with 2 Day's (Phase 1 = Day 1 and Phase 2 = Day 2). I am playing Phase 1 where I need to survive 15 levels and it has 10mins blind level. I am in level 5.

Fold on the flop looks stupid but if you follow the preflop action then it might not look that stupid.

Can you tell me what all mistakes I made, should I move all-in preflop or shove on flop over his c-bet. Just look at his stats and preflop bet sizing I guess he had only AA.



STATS :
 
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Sun Jul 13, 2014, 10:34 PM
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JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,836
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Hi adikumar2010!

There are 3 ways that I can go about playing this hand and absolutely none of them include check/folding the flop.

The opp is raising 11% of hands and hasn't 4-bet yet, BUT, the number of hands that we have on the opp is basically nothing, so I'll use my default of a 4-bet range of 1/2 their PFR. This gives the opp a 5.5% range and QQ is a 60/40 favorite against this range preflop. Being the favorite against the opp's range, my preferred line is to just 5-bet and put them in preflop. Even if their range is 1/3 of what their PFR is, I'm still a 13% favorite.

The other thing that you note is the sizing... well, it's a totally standard 4-bet sizing, as standard can be anywhere from 2. to 3x with the most preferred range between 2.2 and 2.5 times. Due to this, the bet sizing is not a tell for the opp's hand in any way (same for the flop bet, as their bet is basically 1/2 pot, which again, is totally standard).

The flop is 3 undercards, which is a dream flop for QQ. If I have chips left (which I really shouldn't), I have 2 options here. I can either lead for 1/2 pot (and get it in if the opp raises) or check/shove and since the opp is 100% c-bet, I'm going to check/shove.

If I'm going to fold to a flop like this, I should not be calling a 4-bet preflop and there's no way I'm laying down QQ to an opp playing this range, as QQ is ahead of their entire range.

Yes, the opp could have AA or KK.. but I must look at their entire range, not just one or 2 hands. That's why bankroll management is so important in poker as I need to be 5-bet shoving hands like this preflop. If the opp's got one of the 2 hands better than me or outdraws me when an underdog.. so be it, I'll just get into the next game.

Hope this helps and good luck at the tables.

John (JWK24)


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6 Time Bracelet Winner



Last edited by JWK24; Sun Jul 13, 2014 at 10:48 PM.. Reason: fix typo
 

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