Home / Community / Forum / Poker Education / Poker Education & Beginners Questions /

Stealing - getting confused

Stealing - getting confused - Mon Jul 21, 2014, 05:50 PM
pullin1988's Avatar
Since: Apr 2013
Posts: 717
Hi guys,

For the life of me I can not work out if stealing is profitable.

In HEM2, I have a steal success percentage (percentage of the time hero win the pot uncontested) of 57.7%, or roughly 58% of the time.

Now I am raising on the BTN 2.5x, so 2.5bb the amount I put into the unopened pot on the BTN divided by the amount I put into the pot plus the blind amount gives the percentage my steal needs to be successful to breakeven, if I check fold somewhere and I don't put another penny into the pot and fold somewhere.


to breakeven I need to generate folds = 2.5 / (1.5 + 2.5)

= 63%

Does this mean the following:

Stealing is not profitable if I always give up after villain 3bets preflop, or if villain calls preflop and I give up on a later street where I don't put another penny into the pot because of the fact that my steal success is 58%

I believe that I am wrong, but I can't for the life of me work out why.

Is there something that I missing?

Anyone know how to filter for this in HEM2?

I can't seem to use HEM2 optimally



Last edited by pullin1988; Tue Jul 22, 2014 at 11:51 AM..

Getting PokerStars is easy: download and install the PokerStars game software, create your free player account, and validate your email address. Clicking on the download poker button will lead to the installation of compatible poker software on your PC of 51.7 MB, which will enable you to register and play poker on the PokerStars platform. To uninstall PokerStars use the Windows uninstaller: click Start > Control Panel and then select Add or Remove programs > Select PokerStars and click Uninstall or Remove.

Copyright (c) PokerSchoolOnline.com. All rights reserved, Rational Group, Douglas Bay Complex, King Edward Road, Onchan, Isle of Man, IM3 1DZ. You can email us on support@pokerschoolonline.com