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MicroMillions Updates - Bubble Trouble, a diamond, or a dirty plastic pearl

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MicroMillions Updates - Bubble Trouble, a diamond, or a dirty plastic pearl - Fri Jul 25, 2014, 05:58 AM
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MicroMillions - Days 6, 7 & 8 - Bubble Trouble

Summary from these three days below, then a bit of analysis and reflection on where I've gone wrong in a couple of spots. Any hands marked 'bubble trouble' are discussed further below.

#44 $11 NLHE – Didn't play, needed sleep!
#45 $0.11+R NLHE Hyper-Active – 4,146 / 15,950 – No cash
#46 $11 NLHE 6-Max Super-Knockout – 2,846 / 7,636 – No cash
#47 $4.40 NLHE 1R1A – 1,366 / 9,354 – No cash
#48 $3.30 PLO Hi/Lo – 2,576 / 5,109 – No cash
#49 $8.80 HORSE – 2,207 / 3,440 – No cash
#50 $4.40 NLHE 4-Max 4xChance – 11,592 / 19,901 – No cash
#51 $2.20+R NLHE Ante-Up – 8,343 / 12,571 No cash
#52 $5.50 NLHE – 6,081 / 11,052 – No cash
#53 $3.30 NL Omaha – Didn't play, needed sleep!
#54 $5.50 NLHE – 2,541 / 5,712 – No cash
#55 $2.20 NLHE – 4,791 / 9,674 – No cash
#56 $5.50 NL Draw - 767 / 2,073 – No cash
#57 $8.80 NLHE 6-Max Turbo Shootout - 346 / 7,188 - $21.65 cash
#58 $2.20+R NLHE Big Antes – 3,036 / 11,284 – No cash
#59 $3.30 FL Omaha Hi/Lo – 4,014 / 5,216 – No cash
#60 $4.40 NLHE Progressive Super-Knockout – 13,191 / 25,646 – No cash
#61 $8.80 NLHE – 638 / 9,663 - $20.87 cash
#62 $4.40+R PLO 6-Max – 215 / 1,603 – No cash (Bubble trouble below)
#63 $5.50 NLHE – 804 / 5,267 – No cash (Bubble trouble below)
#64 $3.30 NLHE – 4,263 / 8,371 – No cash
#65 $4.40 NLHE 6-Max – Didn't play, needed sleep!
#66 $2.20 NLHE – 6,888 / 13,760 – No cash
#67 $8.80 NLHE Progressive Super-Knockout – 6,502 / 18,287 – No cash
#68 $3.30 PLO 5-Card – 2,118 / 2,923
#69 $3.30 NL Single Draw 2-7 – 2,101 / 3,609
#70 $5.50 NLHE – 1,466 / 10,436 – No cash (Bubble trouble below)

So from 26 events I only managed 2 cashes which isn't brilliant, and realistically my chances of getting into the top 100 on the series leaderboard have probably gone unless I make a final table. I am currently 355th with 115 points, and at the moment 175 points is needed. If you look at the guys at the top of the table (all Russian!), they haven't necessarily won or even final tabled any events. But they just have a lot of cashes and they are very consistent.
What has cost me is that I have been aggressive on the bubble. We are always told that people tighten up because they want to get in the money and it's a great time to chip up, especially as a min cash is normally just enough to cover the buy-in! What I maybe have not factored in is the value of the leaderboard points, and there are 3 events in particular where I really should have at least got in the money, and possible maybe even made a big run. Lets look at what I did wrong:

#62 $4.40+R PLO
Omaha really is not my game, and it was in the 3am slow to I planned on skipping it for sleep. However, because I ran deep and cashed in the game before I was awake, so I late reg'd just before registration closed, and then hit 3 big cards on the row and all of a sudden I had a top 50 stack! I pretty much sat on it for the rest of the game without doing much, and was about to make it into the money. The guy sat to my left has been playing really quite scared and clearly folding marginal hands to get into the money. So with 10 spots to go until the money, I receive a semi-decent hand and decide to put the money in expecting a fold and the blinds. Turns out he had a monster and I'm out.

#63 $5.50 NLHE
At my peak I had a decent sized stack, about 40k at the 400/800 blind levels, so enough blinds to play poker with. I'd had a lot of success bluffing with a check/raise and getting 25-30bb stacks to fold and I continued to be aggressive, even when I was comfortably in the money and looking at a good finish. In the below hand a 25bb stack min raises as he has done often, and on the button I have JTo so I call. The board comes K45 rainbow, so when he only bets third pot I 3bet him 3x, and he calls. The turn if a J which gives me second pair. He checks to me and I put in 10k, half the pot. He goes all in, I call, and I've lost 60% of my stack trying to pull a move.

Even at that point I probably could have folded into the money. Instead, keen to get my big stack back, I shove QJo expecting to abuse the bubble and pick up the blinds and antes. To my disgust, the button wakes up with QQ and calls so I am dominated 9:1. The board run out gives me hope as I have a backdoor flush draw but it misses and I am out just 100 places from the money after 3 hours of play.

#70 $5.50 NLHE
Similar story but even worse. I actually had a top 100 stack for a while and simply played it too aggressively. I had 70k at the 500/1000 level and playing the scared middle stacks at the table. There were 3 hands where I made mistakes, and in the first one it was going up against the one person at the table who had me covered. I called a 2.5x button range in the small blind with 98s, and the flop comes JT8 giving me bottom pair and an open ended straight draw. It's checked to the big stack who half pots, and I call. Turn comes a J, and it goes check check. The river comes a 6 so I miss my straight but decide to lead out representing a flush. Unfortunately I am called and the big stack shows QQ. There goes 30% of my stack.

The very next hand, probably on tilt, I open T6s from the small blind hoping to steal with my now 50k stack. The BB calls. The flop is A53 rainbow. It's checked to me, and despite missing I bet half pot, and the BB calls. We're now in a levelling war. Turn comes another 5, I have a flush draw, and it's check check. Then the 2 comes on the river. It is again checked to me, so I bet half pot again with air. I'm called and the BB turns over A3 for two pair. Surprised how passively he paid the hand. I guess he had seen me being aggressive and was giving me rope. So now in 2 hands I've gone from 70k to 30k. But still enough to fold into the money.

5 minutes later and I've chipped back up to 38k. UTG+2 I 2.5x raise QQ. The cutoff and the button call. Flop comes A92. Urgh. It's checked to the button who bets half pot, 5k. I call, the cutoff folds. Turn is another ace. I check, the button bets half pot, 9k. I called. Yes, I know, horrible. The river comes a Q which is a horrible card for me as it gives me a full house. To me my opponent looks like betting a one pair medium strength ace as they have led out, probably signalling they want to protect their hand as they know I am aggressive. So hopefully my full house beats their trips. They bet less than half pot, smaller than previous bets, again making me think I am good. I shove all in. The button turns over A9 for a bigger full house!

Once again I bust 100 away from the money. Lesson of today? I am too aggressive on the money bubble! I should have had at least 3 more cashes and plenty of leaderboard points. My mistakes!


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Fri Jul 25, 2014, 09:32 AM
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Event 75 is going better though. Inside an hour I've built up a stack from 5k to 25k and in 34th from a starting field of 6.5k. Now lets just not get aggressive and blow it all again: 318 big blinds!


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Fri Jul 25, 2014, 10:40 AM
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Nope, out in around 3,000 this time so not the bubble at least. Sucked out on when my set of 8s ran into a 23o (!) which hit a wheel.


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Sat Jul 26, 2014, 05:13 AM
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MicroMillions - Day 9

The series started off so promisingly, and in truth it's been a success. I'm not an experienced MTT player, and yet my big $400 score covers my buy ins for the rest so I should break even on the series, and I have made a decent stab at the leaderboard. Too many times though I have had a big stack and not cashed in on it. Here's my Day 9 results.

#71 $11 NLHE Super-Knockout Turbo - 3,890 / 6,112 - No cash
#72 $5.50 NLHE Progress Super-Knockout - 2,165 / 6,960 - No cash ($5.30 in bounties)
#73 £3.30 NLHE - 3,837 / 8,248 - No cash
#74 $8.80 NLHE 4-Max Super-Knockout - 3,409 / 8,048 - No cash
#75 $5.50 NLHE 6-Max Big Antes - 3,175 / 9,336 - No cash
#76 $2.20 NLHE - 1,751 / 20370 - $4.80 cash
#77 $3.30+R NL Omaha 6-Max - 3,242 / 4,992 - No cash
#78 $5.50 NLHE 6-Max Chance - 4,349 / 18,137 - No cash
#79 $3.30 PL Courchevel - Didn't play, chose sleep!

So yeah, disappointing day again as only one small cash and 5 leaderboard points. Given the most of the games were NLHE and that is my game, I wanted to do better. Once again I built up a lot of large stacks early on and couldn't go all the way with them into the money. However today I am more confident that I played it well so I am happy.
For example my bust out hand in #78, I got it in with 75% equity. I have 39 big blinds, I am in the cut off with AJs and it is folded to me. I have 2.5x to open, and then the button jams $34k all in, 50 big blinds! This was just the latest all in over jam from him and he was just trying to scare us and steal the blinds. Confident that I have it in good, I decide to call him. Risky? Maybe, but he was running over the table and it was pretty ridiculous play. He shows J7o, and and my AJo is crushing him. A97 on the flop puts me at 91%, Qd on the turn makes me 95%, but a 7s on the river gives him trips and I am out. Disappointing to lose but it was a complete suck out and I'm fine with having got it in good.
How's everyone else doing? I'm now about 400th in the leaderboard table so unless I get a lot of cashes and a final table in the last 2 days I'm out of the running for the Sunday Million tickets (top 100 only) but I'm happy with how it's gone. I've learnt a lot from playing so much poker!


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Sat Jul 26, 2014, 05:14 AM
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For a mod - I see someone has changed the title of the thread. Could it be changed please? I am going to post my blog updates in here on a running basis so don't really want the title to be specific to MicroMillions Day 6! Thanks.


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Sat Jul 26, 2014, 08:06 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PlasticPearl View Post
For a mod - I see someone has changed the title of the thread. Could it be changed please? I am going to post my blog updates in here on a running basis so don't really want the title to be specific to MicroMillions Day 6! Thanks.
Sure, no problem.

Good luck with the rest of the MicroMillions Series!

Raiser


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Sat Jul 26, 2014, 09:49 AM
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Your good luck must be....lucky. Currently in #83, about to enter the money and in 14th place out of 1,500 with 250k chips.


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Sat Jul 26, 2014, 09:52 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PlasticPearl View Post
Your good luck must be....lucky. Currently in #83, about to enter the money and in 14th place out of 1,500 with 250k chips.
Nice, take it down!

Raiser


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Sat Jul 26, 2014, 09:56 AM
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Sat Jul 26, 2014, 10:48 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PlasticPearl View Post
tip... lead the flop. The opp will put you on a pair and not a set, so you'll get more value from draws and marginal hands.
When you check/raise, you turn your hand face up as 2 pair or a set, so you'll only get action from better hands and lose action from one pair hands, especially top pair (which is the majority of the range of an opp that hits this flop).

John (JWK24)


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Sat Jul 26, 2014, 11:00 AM
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Thanks John, good advice. The context here is just two hands previously I'd been caught check-raise bluffing so I was hoping he was observant. But I am definitely guilty of trying to be too tricky sometimes.

Edit: Although thinking about it maybe that's even more of a reason to lead: check raising again so soon after a bluff probably looks stronger than usual.


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Last edited by PlasticPearl; Sat Jul 26, 2014 at 11:12 AM..
 
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Sat Jul 26, 2014, 11:23 AM
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407th in the end for $26.96. Got myself into a weird spot with the big stack table bully who did his usual steal open and I had A7. Flop came with an ace, a three and a five, and I called his bet. We both checked the turn. On the river came a four. He bets 3/4 pot which is about 3/4 of my stack. I choose to call. He flips over 72o for a straight. Sigh. The problem with playing weak aces. Really should have bet the turn.


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Sat Jul 26, 2014, 03:19 PM
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#87, the $3.30 Fixed Limit Hold 'Em. Starting field of 6000, 780 in the money. Now down to the last 550 and I'm 150th. Wish us luck.

Edit: 261st for $8.94 and 15 leaderboard points. Really chuffed with that. Was below average stack pretty much the whole way through and just reliant on others busting before me, and then winning the big all in when I had to. The standard of play was so poor that it was pretty easy to ladder up. Maybe the Top 100 dream isn't over yet!


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Last edited by PlasticPearl; Sat Jul 26, 2014 at 03:35 PM..
 
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Sat Jul 26, 2014, 07:58 PM
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#88, $4.40+R 6-Max Action Hour, no space for hiding in this one! 4 and a half hours in and we're about to hit the money. 11,205 starters, 1,500 cash, and I have a top 150 stack, around $140k. Some utterly bizarre play early on by some people who, on the surface of it, are very successful players according to OPR. Might post some hands later.

Edit: Finished 596th for $43.19 and 15 leaderboard points. Good result!


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Last edited by PlasticPearl; Sat Jul 26, 2014 at 09:09 PM..
 
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Sat Jul 26, 2014, 08:08 PM
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Literally 10 spots from the cash. What do you think: bubble abuse or super strong?



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Sun Jul 27, 2014, 05:57 AM
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#92 the Sunday Spark, $1+R 3x Turbo, 10,923 started, 1,440 get paid, 3,820 left. Currently sitting in 12th with a $340k stack on the break. Fingers crossed! This is a bit of a shovefest though so that position means nothing at this stage and could change very quickly. Everyone is very short with 2.5k/5k blinds increasing every 5 minutes.

Edit: Busted short in 1800th after being sucked out on twice. Maybe I shouldn't be taking the high variance approach by calling all ins when I am pretty sure I have the best hand pre-flop. Even though I have an edge, it does mean a percentage of the time I will bust out early on 20-30% of the time in the long run. On both the below hands I had reads that the villains were shoving light. The problem with these 3x turbos is that just because you have a big stack now, in 15 minutes its below average again. But then I was approaching the bubble. Hmm not sure.


The big turning point. I had him dominated and he flopped a straight.


Bust out hand. Again I had the best of it but he rivered a flush.


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Last edited by PlasticPearl; Sun Jul 27, 2014 at 06:42 AM..
 

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