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Is is a Resteal? - $2.20 MicroMillions Tournament Hand

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Is is a Resteal? - $2.20 MicroMillions Tournament Hand - Sun Jul 27, 2014, 08:40 AM
(#1)
adikumar2010's Avatar
Since: Mar 2011
Posts: 1,094
It is $2.20 MicroMillions-093 with 10mins blind level. Mid stages of the tournament not ITM yet.

Easy fold or easy shove? Is he stealing ? Does this qualify as a re-steal hand?

 
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Sun Jul 27, 2014, 10:24 AM
(#2)
DonkeyJez's Avatar
Since: Oct 2011
Posts: 64
Is he stealing ?
I dont seem to find a steal stat on your hud so not sure how wide he can be.
Sample of 40 hands is pretty small but we can deduce by his pfr that he opens pretty wide.
We can also deduce that he is positionally aware by the steal bet sizing and I would give him a 40-50% range.
He will fold so much to a shove, I don't think I could fold here.


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Sun Jul 27, 2014, 01:27 PM
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JWK24's Avatar
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Two very key stats are missing here.. opp's steal % and your fold to steal %. Please list what these are since you're using a hud.. as this will be critical information for my answer as to what the best line to take will be.

Knowing how often an opp steals or is raising from LP if not using a HUD is critical here.

John (JWK24)


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Sun Jul 27, 2014, 05:57 PM
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Hi adikumar2010!

Without the hud numbers nor a read (none given).. I have absolutely no clue if this is a steal or for value!

If the opp steals a ton, then they could be light. If we don't fold to steals, then they will be tighter than normal. Honestly, the steal and fold to steal numbers, IMO, are 100% critical in this type of spot and is why I do have them on my hud.

In a total vacuum without reads, I'm going to have to let this go and find a spot where I can open-shove as I'll have to give him credit for his initial PFR range, which I'm behind.

However, if I have any information that the opp is steal happy (a high steal number) or if we fold to an inordinate amount of steals, then I'll take being behind in a flip and re-shove over them.

The key here is the read on the opp, which was not provided.

Hope this helps and good luck at the tables.

John (JWK24)

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Sun Jul 27, 2014, 06:01 PM
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JWK24's Avatar
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DonkeyJez View Post
We can also deduce that he is positionally aware by the steal bet sizing and I would give him a 40-50% range.
IMO, I wouldn't put much into the sizing of this. 2. is pretty standard for this blind level, so it could easily be the opp's standard raise sizing.

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Mon Jul 28, 2014, 01:31 PM
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adikumar2010's Avatar
Since: Mar 2011
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I am sorry for not providing full stats here it is:

 
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Mon Jul 28, 2014, 02:24 PM
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JWK24's Avatar
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You're still missing your fold to steal.

Their numbers are really pretty useless, because it's only 3 spots where they could steal. With all the tourneys that you've played, the more telling number would be your fold to steal (FSTL) because you'll have thousands of hands on yourself.

Since they don't have enough opportunities, I'd use their PFR% for their range, which puts KTs as an underdog. They also have not ever raised from LP and faced a 3-bet... so I can't say whether they would be likely to fold to a 3-bet or not. The fold to 3-bet 100 number in the hud is something that I wouldn't want to use, as they have not faced one from LP. This is why a small sample size can create problems, as the numbers won't be close to correct for what an opp plays over time.

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Tue Jul 29, 2014, 01:04 PM
(#8)
DonkeyJez's Avatar
Since: Oct 2011
Posts: 64
Going by your original questions - Easy fold or easy shove? Is he stealing ? Does this qualify as a re-steal hand?
It seems you might need more information to hand to make more accurate decisions.
I would suggest you add steal% , fold to steal% , resteal% and fold to resteal% to your main hud(not popups) as these are very keys stats and you will need to access them frequently.

Hope this helps.


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Last edited by DonkeyJez; Tue Jul 29, 2014 at 01:23 PM..
 
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Tue Jul 29, 2014, 01:19 PM
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adikumar2010's Avatar
Since: Mar 2011
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Is that all?

 
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Tue Jul 29, 2014, 01:34 PM
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JWK24's Avatar
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Hi adi!

There's basically no data on that page.. what is your overall number? FSTL in reports will get it.

Remember, the opps will be looking at everything they have on you, not just a few hands.

John (JWK24)


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Tue Jul 29, 2014, 05:25 PM
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spand42's Avatar
Since: Sep 2010
Posts: 1,496
FWIW I've not been using HUDs much lately in tournaments, but however this does require that you pay some attention to what your opponents are doing. You should probably be able to get a sense of if a villain is stealing pretty frequently or opening often when it's folded to him even spots other than your traditional stealing spots in late position.

Regs tend to steal pretty wide from late position, so you can see how many tables he's playing and/or find his stats on OPR or Sharkscope to help you determine if he is a reg or not.

For me against most opponents this is a nice resteal spot. We have a hand that has OK equity against a lot of his calling range and we have a couple of broadway blockers which makes it slightly more likely that he's stealing light.

If it works, we increase our stack by a third for free. If we get called, we'll double up approx 33-40% of the time.

You can mess around with the maths and see how often we need the resteal to work for it to be profitable vs different opening and calling ranges.
 
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Tue Jul 29, 2014, 07:04 PM
(#12)
Profess Awe's Avatar
Since: Apr 2011
Posts: 1,579
Agree with Andy above. If there were no stats I'd be happily shoving, with the stats that are there I'm even happier to. I don't think it is even close. That said I doubt K9o is calling so its a reship that isn't getting called by worse, but that doesn't mean it isn't profitable - this is what should sway the decision.
 

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