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Thin value bet on river?

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Thin value bet on river? - Sat Aug 02, 2014, 12:17 PM
(#1)
adikumar2010's Avatar
Since: Mar 2011
Posts: 1,094
It is $11 Phase tournament with 2 Day's (Phase 1 = Day 1 and Phase 2 = Day 2). I am playing Phase 1 where I need to survive 15 levels and it has 10mins blind level.

My standard bet is 45% on every street when the board is not too scary.

PokerStars Hand #119574471915: Tournament #942934196, $10+$1 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level IX (150/300) - 2014/08/02 21:38:45 IST [2014/08/02 12:08:45 ET]
Table '942934196 21' 9-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: travisohc (7616 in chips)
Seat 2: lllStefanlll (5228 in chips)
Seat 3: Vingtcent (8920 in chips)
Seat 4: Pajacas (3437 in chips)
Seat 5: ZoZik99 (2826 in chips)
Seat 6: !!f1ghtback! (8349 in chips)
Seat 7: adikumar2010 (21517 in chips)
Seat 8: SnowJram (13394 in chips)
Seat 9: Lamos (17041 in chips)
travisohc: posts the ante 30
lllStefanlll: posts the ante 30
Vingtcent: posts the ante 30
Pajacas: posts the ante 30
ZoZik99: posts the ante 30
!!f1ghtback!: posts the ante 30
adikumar2010: posts the ante 30
SnowJram: posts the ante 30
Lamos: posts the ante 30
lllStefanlll: posts small blind 150
Vingtcent: posts big blind 300
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to adikumar2010 [ ]
Pajacas: folds
ZoZik99: folds
!!f1ghtback!: folds
adikumar2010: raises 300 to 600
SnowJram: folds
Lamos: calls 600
travisohc: folds
lllStefanlll: folds
Vingtcent: calls 300
*** FLOP *** [ ]
Vingtcent: checks
adikumar2010: bets 999
Lamos: calls 999
Vingtcent: folds
*** TURN *** [ ] []
adikumar2010: bets 1898
Lamos: calls 1898
*** RIVER *** [ ] []
adikumar2010: bets 3606
Lamos: raises 7613 to 11219
adikumar2010:

STATS :
 
Old
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Sat Aug 02, 2014, 01:31 PM
(#2)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,496
(Head Trainer)
Hi adi,

I think value betting this river is just too thin. We're asking a lot to get called by worse hands on this run out. The Jd is a crying call at best, and worse hands than this probably just can't call us, especially for 3600. Because we'd be targeting a fairly weak range on this board for thin value, more like 2200 would work better. But, to be clear, I think it's just too thin. I would prefer to check and call rather than bet/fold, I think we do better in the long run picking off bluffs.

Oh and where you've put your question mark... fold imo.




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Sat Aug 02, 2014, 02:26 PM
(#3)
adikumar2010's Avatar
Since: Mar 2011
Posts: 1,094
I don't think I can check-call more then 40% pot bet and I am sure if he had Bigger flush or full house he might make it big to extract more value. That's one more reason for the blocker river bet.
 

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