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55 in CO w 12.5 BB

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55 in CO w 12.5 BB - Sun Sep 14, 2014, 07:31 PM
(#1)
Nataraj1's Avatar
Since: Aug 2013
Posts: 573
It's the 2.20, not too far from the bubble, I'm short-stacked, on the CO with .

Villain_6 is a 13 | 3 over 31 samples. Is the push correct? Would a min-raise steal work better if I can evaluate the flop?

Stats:

SB: 26 | 13 FtS: -- [18 samples]
BB: 72 | 0 FtS: 33.33 [31 samples]


Last edited by Nataraj1; Mon Sep 15, 2014 at 01:20 PM.. Reason: Added details for Villain 6, SB and BB
 
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Sun Sep 14, 2014, 10:36 PM
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JWK24's Avatar
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Hi Nataraj1!

One key that is missing is a read on the blinds. When making a decision, we need to take in all available data on the opps left to act. Are either of the blinds loose?

When it folds to me in the CO with 12.5BB, I should be open-shoving about 32% of hands: 22+ Ax+ K6s+ KTo+ Q8s+ QTo+ J8s+ JTo T7s+ 97s+ 87s 76s

55 is well within and toward the higher end of this range, so I’m snap-shoving against tighter opps.

The only way I’d pass here and fold is if all 2 or more of the opps are loose, as I don’t want to be in a multi-way pot facing 4 or 6 overs.

What I would not do is to min-open. This bet almost pot-commits me, so I can’t afford to leak these chips off… I need to shove or fold.

Hope this helps and good luck at the tables.

John (JWK24)

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Mon Sep 15, 2014, 01:22 PM
(#3)
Nataraj1's Avatar
Since: Aug 2013
Posts: 573
Hi John,

Good point about the blind player stats - I've added them. The Big Blind seems loose but the SB is tighter, what to do here, avoid this spot? Samples sizes are very small though.

I also added the precision that the 13 | 3 stat is for the villain #6.
 
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Mon Sep 15, 2014, 01:43 PM
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With 2 tight and one loose behind me... I'm going with it because most likely I'll be up against 1 opp and not multiple.

John (JWK24)


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Mon Sep 15, 2014, 04:07 PM
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Since: Aug 2013
Posts: 573
Thansk for the precision, John.
 
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Mon Sep 15, 2014, 06:14 PM
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Since: Aug 2014
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nice too mets you
 

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