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$0.5 SNG - 45 Players. Fold Or Shove?

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$0.5 SNG - 45 Players. Fold Or Shove? - Tue Sep 30, 2014, 04:49 AM
(#1)
vjgaming's Avatar
Since: Mar 2014
Posts: 55
BronzeStar
PokerStars - $0.45+$0.05|500/1000 Ante 60 NL - Holdem - 4 players

SB: 6.9 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 17.65, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 18)
Hero (BB): 15.49 BB
CO: 22.2 BB (VPIP: 23.19, PFR: 19.70, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 69)
BTN: 22.92 BB (VPIP: 11.11, PFR: 5.88, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 18)

4 players post ante of 0.06 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.74 BB) Hero has Tc Ts
CO raises to 2 BB, BTN raises to 22.86 BB and is all-in, fold, Hero calls 14.43 BB and is all-in, fold

Flop : (33.59 BB, 2 players) Qh Kh 4c

Turn : (33.59 BB, 2 players) 4h

River : (33.59 BB, 2 players) 8h

Hero shows Tc Ts (Two Pair, Tens and Fours) (Pre 54%, Flop 11%, Turn 5%)
BTN shows Kd Ad (Two Pair, Kings and Fours) (Pre 46%, Flop 89%, Turn 95%)
BTN wins 33.59 BB
 
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Tue Sep 30, 2014, 06:11 AM
(#2)
sjb958's Avatar
Since: Dec 2012
Posts: 1,537
Hmmm thats a tough one, I personally would fold here and find a better spot, the BTN is pretty tight and is not going to be doing this with a wide range imo, often you'll find this is exactly AK imo (so depends if you want to flip for a potential first place finish I guess). I would find a very tight fold. By the way, depends if you have seen this guy do this before/often. I think if you did it could change your decision making.
 
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Tue Sep 30, 2014, 10:39 AM
(#3)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,501
(Head Trainer)
Hi vj,

I don't think I can find a fold here tbh, TT on 15bb is a monster 4 handed. I don't share the tight range opinion, the stats are fairly meaningless and it's been a crazy final table (we went from 9 to 4 players in 18 hands apparently) so he probably didn't have much opportunity to get involved. So he can be shoving wider than the nuts.

Would be a good one to run through ICM, idk maybe it's an ICM fold but in the heat of battle my chips are going in here.



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